low-probability, high-impact outcomes

There's an interesting Earth System Dynamics Discussion paper presenting a a simple proposal to improve the contribution of IPCC WG1 to the assessment and communication of climate change risks. Essentially, one can estimate the risk of some outcome by considering the likelihood of that outcome multiplied by the impact of that outcome. This is illustrated…

The quantification of low-probability–high-consequences events: part I. A generic multi-risk approach

Promac Group - Do you know? What is Risk Probability And

High Impact / Low Probability Analysis Tool - Discover Your Solutions LLC

On the origin of PCDS – (Probability consequence diagrams) - ScienceDirect

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How to deal with low-probability high-impact risks? - Information Security Stack Exchange

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Monte Carlo Simulation: History, How it Works, and 4 Key Steps

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High impact low probability risks in civil engineering

The quantification of low-probability–high-consequences events: part I. A generic multi-risk approach

4 Risk Identification and Analysis, The Owner's Role in Project Risk Management

PROBABILITY AND IMPACT MATRIX : PMP/CAPM - Mudassir Iqbal

low-probability, high-impact outcomes